Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting

Rachid Errouissi; Julian Cardenas-Barrera; Julian Meng; Eduardo Castillo-Guerra; Xun Gong; Liuchen Chang

doi:10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931

Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting

Rachid Errouissi, Julian Cardenas-Barrera, Julian Meng, Eduardo Castillo-Guerra, Xun Gong, Liuchen Chang

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

27 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

In this work we apply a bootstrap method to obtain probabilistic forecasts from past single-valued forecasts offered by a Numerical Weather Prediction model. The potential of the proposed method is assessed with real data from four wind farms in Eastern Canada. The methodology can be extended to other existing point forecasting methods.

Original language	English
Title of host publication	2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015
Publisher	Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Pages	1919-1924
Number of pages	6
ISBN (Electronic)	9781467371506
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931
Publication status	Published - Oct 27 2015
Externally published	Yes
Event	7th Annual IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015 - Montreal, Canada Duration: Sept 20 2015 → Sept 24 2015

Publication series

Name	2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015

Conference

Conference	7th Annual IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015
Country/Territory	Canada
City	Montreal
Period	9/20/15 → 9/24/15

Keywords

bootstrap
prediction interval
probabilistic forecasting
uncertainty
wind energy

ASJC Scopus subject areas

Energy Engineering and Power Technology
Electrical and Electronic Engineering

Access to Document

10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931

Cite this

Errouissi, R., Cardenas-Barrera, J., Meng, J., Castillo-Guerra, E., Gong, X., & Chang, L. (2015). Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting. In 2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015 (pp. 1919-1924). Article 7309931 (2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015). Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.. https://doi.org/10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931

Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting. / Errouissi, Rachid; Cardenas-Barrera, Julian; Meng, Julian et al.
2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2015. p. 1919-1924 7309931 (2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015).

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceeding › Conference contribution

Errouissi, R, Cardenas-Barrera, J, Meng, J, Castillo-Guerra, E, Gong, X & Chang, L 2015, Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting. in 2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015., 7309931, 2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015, Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., pp. 1919-1924, 7th Annual IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015, Montreal, Canada, 9/20/15. https://doi.org/10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931

Errouissi R, Cardenas-Barrera J, Meng J, Castillo-Guerra E, Gong X, Chang L. Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting. In 2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2015. p. 1919-1924. 7309931. (2015 IEEE Energy Conversion Congress and Exposition, ECCE 2015). doi: 10.1109/ECCE.2015.7309931

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Bootstrap prediction interval estimation for wind speed forecasting

Abstract

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Conference

Keywords

ASJC Scopus subject areas

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