TY - JOUR
T1 - HIV mortality and infection in India
T2 - Estimates from nationally representative mortality survey of 1.1 million homes
AU - Jha, Prabhat
AU - Kumar, Rajesh
AU - Khera, Ajay
AU - Bhattacharya, Madhulekha
AU - Arora, Paul
AU - Gajalakshmi, Vendhan
AU - Bhatia, Prakash
AU - Kam, Derek
AU - Bassani, Diego G.
AU - Sullivan, Ashleigh
AU - Suraweera, Wilson
AU - McLaughlin, Catherine
AU - Dhingra, Neeraj
AU - Nagelkerke, Nico
PY - 2010/3/6
Y1 - 2010/3/6
N2 - Objective: To determine the rates of death and infection from HIV in India. Design: Nationally representative survey of deaths. Setting: 1.1 million homes in India. Population: 123 000 deaths at all ages from 2001 to 2003. Main outcome measures: HIV mortality and infection. Results: HIV accounted for 8.1% (99% confidence interval 5.0% to 11.2%) of all deaths among adults aged 25-34 years. In this age group, about 40% of deaths from HIV were due to AIDS, 26% were due to tuberculosis, and the rest were attributable to other causes. Nationally, HIV infection accounted for about 100 000 (59 000 to 140 000) deaths or 3.2% (1.9% to 4.6%) of all deaths among people aged 15-59 years. Deaths from HIV were concentrated in the states and districts with higher HIV prevalence and in men. The mortality results imply an HIV prevalence at age 15-49 years of 0.26% (0.13% to 0.39%) in 2004, comparable to results from a 2005/6 household survey that tested for HIV (0.28%). Collectively, these data suggest that India had about 1.4-1.6 million HIV infected adults aged 15-49 years in 2004-6, about 40% lower than the official estimate of 2.3 million for 2006. All cause mortality increased in men aged 25-34 years between 1997 and 2002 in the states with higher HIV prevalence but declined after that. HIV prevalence in young pregnant women, a proxy measure of incidence in the general population, fell between 2000 and 2007. Thus, HIV mortality and prevalence may have fallen further since our study. Conclusion: HIV attributable death and infection in India is substantial, although it is lower than previously estimated.
AB - Objective: To determine the rates of death and infection from HIV in India. Design: Nationally representative survey of deaths. Setting: 1.1 million homes in India. Population: 123 000 deaths at all ages from 2001 to 2003. Main outcome measures: HIV mortality and infection. Results: HIV accounted for 8.1% (99% confidence interval 5.0% to 11.2%) of all deaths among adults aged 25-34 years. In this age group, about 40% of deaths from HIV were due to AIDS, 26% were due to tuberculosis, and the rest were attributable to other causes. Nationally, HIV infection accounted for about 100 000 (59 000 to 140 000) deaths or 3.2% (1.9% to 4.6%) of all deaths among people aged 15-59 years. Deaths from HIV were concentrated in the states and districts with higher HIV prevalence and in men. The mortality results imply an HIV prevalence at age 15-49 years of 0.26% (0.13% to 0.39%) in 2004, comparable to results from a 2005/6 household survey that tested for HIV (0.28%). Collectively, these data suggest that India had about 1.4-1.6 million HIV infected adults aged 15-49 years in 2004-6, about 40% lower than the official estimate of 2.3 million for 2006. All cause mortality increased in men aged 25-34 years between 1997 and 2002 in the states with higher HIV prevalence but declined after that. HIV prevalence in young pregnant women, a proxy measure of incidence in the general population, fell between 2000 and 2007. Thus, HIV mortality and prevalence may have fallen further since our study. Conclusion: HIV attributable death and infection in India is substantial, although it is lower than previously estimated.
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U2 - 10.1136/bmj.c621
DO - 10.1136/bmj.c621
M3 - Article
C2 - 20179131
AN - SCOPUS:77749306309
SN - 0959-8146
VL - 340
SP - 519
JO - The BMJ
JF - The BMJ
IS - 7745
M1 - c621
ER -