Multilayer information spillover networks between oil shocks and banking sectors: Evidence from oil-rich countries

Ahmed H. Elsayed, Nader Naifar, Gazi Salah Uddin, Gang Jin Wang

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

28 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

There is no doubt that oil price shocks significantly affect oil-producing countries' macroeconomic fundamentals and financial stability, mainly in crisis times. The recent oil price shocks, coupled with the COVID-19 pandemic, motivated us to investigate the connectedness and risk transmission among oil shocks and banking sectors in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) economies from June 30, 2006, to September 9, 2021. Thus, we construct multilayer information spillover networks between oil price shocks and GCC banking sectors. The empirical results show that the Bahrain banking sector depicts the highest connectedness and risk transmission with oil price shocks on the extreme risk spillover layer. In addition, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates are highly connected to oil demand shocks. Furthermore, we find a substantial increase in extreme risk spillover and volatility spillover layers during the COVID-19 period. The results of this paper have some important implications for regional portfolio risk management, alleviating systemic risk, and developing hedging and investment strategies.

Original languageEnglish
Article number102602
JournalInternational Review of Financial Analysis
Volume87
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - May 2023

Keywords

  • Banking sectors
  • COVID-19
  • GCC
  • Multilayer spillover networks
  • Oil shocks

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Finance
  • Economics and Econometrics

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