On the prediction of systemic risk tolerance of cryptocurrencies

Sabri Boubaker, Sitara Karim, Muhammad Abubakr Naeem, Molla Ramizur Rahman

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

4 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

The role of big data in finance is pivotal, especially in forecasting stock prices, mitigating risk, and assessing market anomalies. With the financial system becoming more interconnected, analytical models using large data are gaining prominence in developing risk spillover models. This study estimates the systemic risk tolerance of twenty-five high-valued cryptocurrencies and finds that Fantom has the highest tolerance, while Bitcoin and Ethereum have a lower tolerance due to their large market share. It also shows that the common trend of cryptocurrencies enhances each other's tolerance and develops a predictive model for systemic risk tolerance. The study can help investors and market participants devise strategies for safe haven investment, hedging, and speculation during a market downturn.

Original languageEnglish
Article number122963
JournalTechnological Forecasting and Social Change
Volume198
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jan 2024
Externally publishedYes

Keywords

  • Commonality
  • Crisis
  • Cryptocurrency
  • Systemic risk tolerance

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Business and International Management
  • Applied Psychology
  • Management of Technology and Innovation

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