TY - JOUR
T1 - Reservoir water balance simulation model utilizing machine learning algorithm
AU - Dashti Latif, Sarmad
AU - Najah Ahmed, Ali
AU - Sherif, Mohsen
AU - Sefelnasr, Ahmed
AU - El-Shafie, Ahmed
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 THE AUTHORS
PY - 2021/2
Y1 - 2021/2
N2 - Developing water losses and reservoir final storage forecast has become an increasingly important task for reservoir operation. Accurate forecasts would lead to better monitoring of water quality and more efficient reservoir operation. Therefore, the flash flood and water crisis problems in Malaysia can be reduced. Artificial neural networks (ANN) models with radial basis function (RBF) have been determined for high efficiency and accuracy, especially in the dynamics system. In this study, the proposed ANN Prediction Model is being developed by using inflow, the release of dam, initial and final storage of the reservoir as input, whereas the water losses from the reservoir as output. All the data collected over 11 years (1997–2007) at Klang Gate reservoir has been used to develop and test model output. The results indicated that the proposed model could provide monthly forecasting with maximum root mean square error of ± 20.07%. The advantages of this ANN model are to provide information for water losses, final storage, and variation of water level for better reservoir operation.
AB - Developing water losses and reservoir final storage forecast has become an increasingly important task for reservoir operation. Accurate forecasts would lead to better monitoring of water quality and more efficient reservoir operation. Therefore, the flash flood and water crisis problems in Malaysia can be reduced. Artificial neural networks (ANN) models with radial basis function (RBF) have been determined for high efficiency and accuracy, especially in the dynamics system. In this study, the proposed ANN Prediction Model is being developed by using inflow, the release of dam, initial and final storage of the reservoir as input, whereas the water losses from the reservoir as output. All the data collected over 11 years (1997–2007) at Klang Gate reservoir has been used to develop and test model output. The results indicated that the proposed model could provide monthly forecasting with maximum root mean square error of ± 20.07%. The advantages of this ANN model are to provide information for water losses, final storage, and variation of water level for better reservoir operation.
KW - Artificial neural network (ANN)
KW - Klang gate
KW - Water balance model
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U2 - 10.1016/j.aej.2020.10.057
DO - 10.1016/j.aej.2020.10.057
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85095820836
SN - 1110-0168
VL - 60
SP - 1365
EP - 1378
JO - Alexandria Engineering Journal
JF - Alexandria Engineering Journal
IS - 1
ER -