Time-series evidence for balassa’s export-led growth hypothesis

Abdulnasser Hatemi-J, Manuchehr Irandoust

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

41 Citations (Scopus)


This paper investigates Balassa’s export-led growth hypothesis for Greece, Ireland, Mexico, Portugal and Turkey by constructing a vector autoregression (VAR) model. On the basis of the Granger non-causality procedure developed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995), the results show that export and output are causally related in the long run for Ireland, Mexico and Portugal. Our findings cannot offer support for the causality link between export and output for Greece and Turkey. Granger-causality is uni-directional, running from export growth to economic growth in Ireland and Mexico, and running from economic growth to export growth in Portugal.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)355-365
Number of pages11
JournalJournal of International Trade and Economic Development
Issue number3
Publication statusPublished - 2000
Externally publishedYes


  • Cointegration
  • Economic growth
  • Exports
  • Granger non-causality

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geography, Planning and Development
  • Development
  • Aerospace Engineering


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